Three nested curves rising across dashed vertical dividers, the shape used to describe innovation horizons.
Workshop design · Facilitation

Thinking
fifteen
years out

A major energy enterprise needed to build a Horizon three practice, with a playbook full of theory, a team that had never run one, and a culture built to avoid exactly this kind of risk.

Disciplines
Workshop designFacilitationPrototypingPresentation design
Tools
FigmaPowerPointIllustratorMiro

The challenge

A mandate for new markets, inside a culture built to avoid them

COThe tension

Leadership asked for Horizon three. Everything around them rewarded Horizon one.

The client knew its long-term position depended on ventures well outside the core business, and stood up a small internal team to go find them. That team had never run an innovation practice, and the playbook they inherited explained the theory without saying how to run a single session.

The Fellows came from across the business. Well connected, capable, and completely unpracticed at leading colleagues through work with no obvious right answer.

A Looking to Horizon 3 diagram showing three nested curves, with Horizon 1 looking one to three years ahead, Horizon 2 two to five years, and Horizon 3 five to fifteen years, illustrated by the iPhone.

Making an abstract time horizon concrete on day one

The pathway

Four stages, each with something you could hold

01
Research

Inspiration

Emerging trends, frontier technology, adjacent industries, and market shifts, framed to get Fellows thinking past the business they already knew.

02
Mapping

Capability and resource

Connecting far-out ideas to real entry points inside the company: existing assets, partners, and technical capability.

03
Development

Facilitated opportunity

Step-by-step frameworks that let Fellows grow an idea without drowning in it or jumping straight to a solution.

04
Sprints

Design sprints

Turning the strongest opportunities into something testable, with the open questions named out loud rather than deferred.

Stage one

Innovation is only as good as the ideas behind it

A team can run a flawless process and still arrive somewhere unremarkable if nobody gave them anything new to think with. Inspiration is not a warm-up before the real work, it is the raw material the rest of the pathway depends on.

So the research became something people could move around and argue with rather than read. Getting the Fellows out of the assumptions they arrived with was the whole point, and it had to happen before anyone was asked to produce an idea.

An animation of a collaborative mapping board filling in as ideas are added and grouped.
Workshop documentation showing Innovation Fellows at whiteboards, the trend gallery, a top ten opportunity summary with market size bars, and a refined opportunity brief.

Fellows in foresight and market opportunity identification workshops

Stage four

Five days from opportunity to something testable

Map, sketch, decide, prototype, test. A fixed structure with a visible end date gave a risk-conscious organisation permission to spend a week in genuine uncertainty, which mattered as much to the executives watching as to the Fellows running it.

Hand-drawn diagram of a five-day design sprint: Monday map, Tuesday sketch, Wednesday decide, Thursday prototype, Friday test.
A row of six hand-drawn stick figure illustrations depicting stages of a maintenance workflow.

What it produced

Concepts fleshed out and ready for the next phase

A twelve-slide concept deck on the future of the space economy, covering the ecosystem, market timing, existing company assets, an honest assessment of the opportunity, and a staged plan for when to act.

The outcome of one of our design sprints, a complete deck walking through the concept

Three screens of an interface prototype: a welcome search screen, an overview dashboard with health scores, and a maintenance detail view.

A live prototype, built so the concept could be tested rather than described

The numbers

What year one left behind

1

Repeatable pathway

Defined processes they can run without us

50+

Opportunities identified

Each ranked for viability and potential impact, and set aside for future tracking

2

Concepts prototyped

Carried through to testable interfaces

Outcome

Year one ended with a capability, not a report.

The enterprise went from a small team holding a theoretical playbook to a working source of new-market opportunities, with trained Fellows, a ranked portfolio, and a research backlog that makes the next cohort faster than the first. The harder gain is cultural. People who had never been asked to think this way now have a method for doing it.

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